The
impact of socio-economic restructuring on the working class and the challenges
facing them
Ravi Naidoo
(Director, National
Labour and Economic Development Institute)
Harold Wolpe Memorial Trust forum meeting
Cape Town, 17 August 2000
SUMMARY
NOTES
INTRODUCTION
This short note briefly covers some of the challenge facing the South African and international working class. Unavoidably such a short paper cannot address all the issues it should, or in the depth that is required. Nonetheless it does reflect some of the emerging debates and ideas within the labour movement.
1. The
immediate challenge of job creation and job retention
1.1. South Africa has one of the fastest growing union movements in the world. Amidst this union growth, however, the tradition bases of unionism are being undermined by changes in employment patterns.
1.2. In contrast to most union movements elsewhere in the world where membership has declined, South African union membership has increased by approximately 131% since 1985. In particular, Cosatu membership has grown from 1,3 million in 1994 to over 1,7 million today. This represents an increase of 30% since 1994. However, the current dilemma for unions is that traditional ‘union-strong’ sectors are shedding jobs (the economy lost 300 000 formal sector jobs in the last two years), and the hard-to-unionise sectors are expanding.
1.3. South African unions are feeling the impact of this changing employment pattern. Graph 1 shows the changing pattern of union membership in COSATU. Today public service unions are the largest sector within COSATU, representing 37% of all membership. This sectoral breakdown for 1999 is very different to the picture that emerged from the early days of COSATU. Ten years ago, manufacturing was the largest sector with 55% of total membership, mining 23% and public services only 6%. The decline in the manufacturing unions has been dramatic, falling from 55% of total membership in 1998 to 28% in 1999.
1.4. Among COSATU manufacturing unions, membership has fallen from 530 625 in 1994 to an estimated 484 258 in 1999. The decline in manufacturing unions mirrors some of the changes occurring in the economy. Changes in employment in these sectors are occurring on a wide scale and at a rapid pace. Slow economic growth, industry and workplace restructuring have resulted in job losses.
1.5. These declining manufacturing unions have accumulated considerable worker experience and struggle over the years, qualities that cannot be easily replaced. As these unions decline, their influence over union movement strategies and priorities may decline too. The consequences of this could be a loss of valuable experience of worker struggles and strategies.
Graph 1: Changes in Cosatu sectoral membership, 1989-1999
1.6. The fast pace of job destruction and the consequent reconfiguration of union membership pose a serious challenge to unions. In particular, the shrinking formal sector threatens to reduce unionism to a small enclave, easily accused of being an elite. Strategically, it is essential for unions to avoid this. Conversely, an expanding working class, through growing employment, strengthens unions. There is thus an inherent pressure on unions to engage in policy dialogue at national and industry levels to reach agreements for employment creation and retention. Part of the struggle for survival and relevance will include a determination to engage in national actions against job losses.
1.7. Can this rapid increase in public service membership continue, and will it compensate for the declining manufacturing sector unions? The answer to the first question is ‘maybe Yes’, and ‘probably Not’ to the second.
1.8. First, there is every chance that this membership growth will continue for the next few years, as insecurity rises in the public service. Despite the rapid growth of these unions, the vast majority of public service workers are either un-unionised or in non-Cosatu unions. The experiences of other union movements, however, serve as a warning not to rely too much on one sector. In many industrialised countries in the 1980s unions retreated from the declining manufacturing sector into the public sectors, only to find public sector employment shattered by downsizing and privatisation.
1.9. Second, the older manufacturing unions have accumulated considerable worker experience and struggle over the years, qualities that cannot be easily replaced. As these unions decline, their influence over union movement strategies and priorities may decline too. The consequences of this could be a loss of valuable experience of worker struggles and strategies.
1.10. On the positive side, there are signs that some Cosatu unions are alive to the challenge, and have begun to revise their strategies. Examples include efforts to recruit dock workers and seasonal workers at the ports. A similar upward trend is also emerging among embattled union movements in other countries. In short, for the union movement all around the world, there is only one real option: defend existing jobs and develop strategies to organise the unorganised.
2. The
underlying challenges facing workers and trade unions
2.1. Neo-liberal globalisation seeks to dismantle rights and their
underpinning social justice values. The argument is that the world is changing, and
national institutions and processes must adjust to keep pace with the
irresistible forces of globalisation. The pragmatism of neo-liberalism seeks to
posture policy as ‘whatever works’. In this event whatever works
for ‘competitiveness’ is to be accepted.
3.1. A three-pronged approach can be
identified to tackle these challenges.
4.1. South African unions have an
immediate need to maintain and increase their levels of union density if they
are to exercise political economic influence. It goes without saying of course
that union membership is only one indicator of union strength; internal union
democracy and political strategy are others, though these are less effective in
the absence of critical membership mass.
R. NAIDOO’S INTRODUCTION TO HIS NOTES
Some of the ideas in the
paper presented here have been circulating in different formations in the union
movement. I am from Naledi, a policy research organisation
established by Cosatu, but which is not part of Cosatu. We do work with NGOs,
churches and international organisations.
Three years ago, after a
lot of debate, Cosatu became an affiliate of the International Confederation of
Free Trade Unions. The ICFTU was the West’s organised labour arm during
the Cold War but it was one of a number of bodies which started to change
ideologically because the issues which began to emerge were very difficult to
deal with. New voices became heard in the West’s labour movements, there
was a change in leadership and, as a result, South Africa, Korea and Brazil
– all fairly left-wing militant labour movements – affiliated to
the ICFTU to try to influence its stance on globalisation. I will cover a few
things that interest me in particular:
1. ‘Who do you represent?’ The
organised working class is quite powerful because of who it represents –
something which is changing. The ANC looks at Cosatu as a driving force behind
democratic transformation. At the ANC National General Council a month ago,
branches and others said the organised working class is a driving force, as opposed to a motive
force such as black business.
2. ‘Who you are allied to?’ Cosatu is
a formal part of the ANC alliance.
3. How the labour movement does things. For
example, Mbhazima Shilowa
when he was general secretary of Cosatu was personally influential, he carried
himself well, he built up networks.
4. How socio-economic restructuring is impacting
on these things.
Internationally, labour
movements have been in decline, especially with the rise in right-wing
governments over the last two years. South Africa, the Philippines and Korea
are exceptions – all have strong labour movements which are growing.
Since the 70s, the labour movement in South Africa has grown because it is
vibrant, and because laws governing labour relations have changed for the
better. The public sector is one of the main sources of growth in membership.
Public service unions have grown sharply in the last ten years because apartheid
rules against unionisation of public servants fell away. Cosatu could not cope
with the growth, running out of money because it was spending money on things
like offices faster than it was able to set up the subscription systems.
The global competition
scenario in manufacturing has led to a reduction in tariffs, for example, on
clothing, an increase in imports from Asia, restructuring by employers and
10 000 workers losing their jobs every six months. Even though Cosatu has
grown, there has been a strong change in the centres of power within the union
movement. Unions with a lot of experience and struggle are in decline. This is
undermining an important source of strength in the unions. The public sector
itself is due to be downsized.
There has been a stagnation
of the formal sector, and growth in the informal sector to part-time,
temporary, hard-to-unionise McDonald’s-type companies. Over time, the
labour movement will represent a smaller group. We are now being asked to
accept that our role is to represent the interests of workers and nothing else.
Historically, South African unions have been interested in wider struggles,
social struggles. It is important to maintain this energy, and not to get
trapped in a downward cycle.
One of the first goals of the
neoliberal assault is to try to dismantle the whole notion of social justice,
social solidarity by trying to impose in its place a view that we must be
‘pragmatic’, ‘work is changing’, ‘we have to
change’, ‘be flexible’, ‘be competitive’,
‘some things are nice to do, but it is old fashioned to do them
now’. All over the world, even in Western Europe, the welfare state is
being trimmed. At the level of government policy, officials say ‘we
don’t care about ideology, we are concerned about the facts and what
works’, but these ‘facts’ are of course framed in a certain
way. During a visit to South Africa, US Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers was
asked by influential business people what we should be doing to attract foreign
investment. He said although people say we will never get investment money
back, at the end of the day, the one value to get foreign investment is greed
– if you offer the right rate of return, investors will come back. This
is the same person who, when he was at the World Bank, said Africa is underpolluted and should therefore import toxic waste.
Summers got Joseph Stiglitz fired from the World
Bank. Stiglitz said neo-liberalism is irrational
because it undermines the strengths of government.
The agenda of
neo-liberalism will always include the liberalising of financial services.
Neo-liberalism is trying to present itself as being pragmatic, but it is not.
Internationally the Left has realised it is a difficult thing to resist, so its
response is framed in the paradigm of competitiveness. The Left is now saying
that good labour standards are good for competition, ‘you can’t
build economies on sweatshops’ and if, for example, you allow Thailand to
use child labour, this is unfair competition. Human rights are expensive.
In South Africa, as elsewhere,
policies must be made, governments must govern, but the question is how they do
it. The International Monetary Fund/World Bank theory is that the formulation
of economic policy should be insulated because as soon as you expose the
process to debate and the influence of interest groups, it creates uncertainty.
This is a code for saying only certain groups will be given access, not civil
society. When South Africa’s Growth, Employment and Redistribution
macroeconomic strategy was developed, it did not go through Parliament or the
ANC alliance, it did not even go through the ANC’s National Executive
Committee. GEAR was developed in the Department of Finance (now called the
National Treasury) by a small group of people who showed various government
departments only the parts which applied directly to them. The original
national Growth and Development Strategy was linked to Reconstruction and
Development Programme, but debate on this latter strategy was shut down in
government. Our Parliament is very democratic, even compared to established
democracies, but it cannot affect budgetary policy making – Parliament
does not have the power to amend the Budget.
Even though 38 per cent of
the people are below the poverty line, 10 per cent of the formal sector earns
less than R500 a month. Some formal sector organisations governed by bargaining
agreements pay as little as R100 per week, and there is no minimum wage. There
have been attempts to fragment the working class. This has been done by
creating a new class called ‘the poorest of the poor’ against which
working people with jobs are favourably compared. This analysis sees
redistribution as being confined to these two groups – from the poor (but
relatively fortunate) to the poorest of the poor.
In the US, there has been a
rise in polarisation even though it has the lowest unemployment ever (around 4
per cent) – because the incomes of 80 per cent of working families are
stagnating and incomes of top 20 per cent have shot through the roof.
What can the labour movement
do about it? Build strong organisation. Increase membership, avoid being caught
in an enclave. As much as we don’t like new forms of employment, we have
to learn to recruit in a different way. There are more women in the service
sector who do not identify with old union image. Employers are trying to
rearrange employment so that their workers are independent contractors who are
paid by output instead of employees. Such contracts fall under the commercial
law rather than the labour law. The International Labour Organisation is trying
to come up with a convention to deal with new forms of contract work such as
outsourcing and labour broking. When I get a plumber to fix something in my
house, he is not my employee, I don’t pay his pension. In other cases, a
person is doing regular work and is effectively an employee, but if he or she
is described as an independent contractor, this enables the employer to avoid
employee obligations and lower the cost.
DISCUSSION
Rob Turrell:
The weakest workers are being outsourced – the University of Cape Town
did it some time ago, and the University of the Witwatersrand is currently
doing it.
Richard Rosenthal: UCT
saved R8 million to 10 million a year by outsourcing certain functions. The big
saving comes from the outsourcer who has the opportunity to renegotiate the
remuneration package. Some staff have been re-employed but are earning
substantially less than when they were employed by UCT.
Ravi Naidoo:
There is a saving in terms of money, but 600 workers are being retrenched at
Wits.
Rob Turrell:
UCT won the court case about this. What is Nehawu’s
strategy to deal with this?
Ravi Naidoo:
UCT went very fast into this programme, it went past the union, and the matter
is over and done. Wits want to bring down their costs by a third so Colin Bundy
[vice chancellor of Wits] tried to do what UCT did and outsource certain
functions, but Nehawu has learnt from the UCT
experience and is opposing the plan. This course of action is surprising, given
that Wits has a progressive senate, including Edwin Cameron, Leila Patel and
Colin Bundy. Wits spent R6 million on consultants to advise them on this.
The Johannesburg Metro is
trying to do the same thing and is being opposed by Samwu.
In terms of the labour law, employers who want to retrench employees only have
to show an operational reason for wanting to do so. Unions cannot strike on
retrenchments, and employers only have to consult
with the union.
Rob Turrell:
There are highly professional staff that have been outsourced and are doing
better than before, the weakest staff lose out.
Ravi Naidoo:
It has to do with skills. If I, for example, were to become a consultant, I
would earn more than I currently do. For certain grades of employee, it is the
complete opposite. They lose out. An overclass is
developing – executives pay each other huge amounts of money.
Ronald Segal: All the
phenomena that you have cited are evident in Britain under New Labour. This
intellectually disreputable action is being subjected to criticism from the
chattering classes. Why is South Africa engaged in this process to thunderous
intellectual silence? It is a whole system of stripping labour of rudimentary
rights.
Richard Rosenthal:
Parliament’s capacity to influence the Budget is limited to interrogating
it and making recommendations. Parliamentary committees’ finding are
theoretically taken into account, but when the matter is before the plenary
session of Parliament, it must either be accepted or rejected in toto. There is a case of legislation going through with
drafting errors in it which were picked up too late to change.
Ravi Naidoo:
Financial capital is very powerful, we must access some of this money for our
own purposes. We have to ‘make yourself presentable’ as Lawrence Summers
would say. A double transition is underway. We have movement towards democracy
which is a huge thing to deal with. At the same time our economic policy is
inherently conservative – ‘free trade’, few exchange
controls, downward pressures that are reflected in the statements of the
finance people. There is no one view in government. During the Jobs Summit in
1998, individual proposals had to be made by labour, the
‘community’, employers and government. Government struggled the
most to come up with a document because it could not achieve agreement between
finance and the other ministries. The National Treasury controls the budgets of
all departments. It is a ‘super department’ which sets the terms of
reference for other departments. The problems we have largely stem from
problematic views in the National Treasury. There are a number of things raised
as specific strategies for unions to use [see in my paper section 3.3 above].
The interesting ones have to do with the way the international labour movement is
changing because they are feeling the need to do something about international
solidarity, not just talk about it.
Multinationals are being
targeted proactively, especially on consumer goods, for example, Nike in
Thailand. We have a bigger focus on democracy and institutions – the more
you can expose the policy and budget to pressure, the more you remove the
hiding places for particular interest groups to impose policies that are not in
the interests of people.
A low-intensity democracy
is proposed by the powerful, restricted to having a vote every five years. We
are proposing a high-intensity democracy – government must still govern,
but with consultation. Chairs of parliamentary committees complain that they
are not listened to. The focus is on what we can do to bring up democratic
institutions. The labour movement is facing pressure to back off from social
movement unionism because, as membership shrinks, it is being caught in an
enclave. We are therefore looking at partnership with NGOs, churches, environmental
groups, strategic partnerships. The anti-World Trade Organisation (WTO)
campaign in Seattle included a broad variety of organisations. Who would have
thought that the US labour federation AFLCIO, which at one stage was an
instrument of US government policy, would have participated in such a protest?
There is no point in
debating how rights serve competitiveness. We like the fact that the advent of
rights is good for the economy because this supports a high-skilled new
economy. But human rights cannot be made flexible in the service of
competitiveness. Rights are a core value. Labour movements over the world are
beginning to converge on a set of core values. This year we hosted the ICFTU
conference. We are starting to see blocks of unions – for example,
Brazil, Korea and South Africa. The labour movement has taken on the WTO in
partnership with others. We need to develop a network of organisations to take
up strategic issues.
Rob Turrell:
Where is the proposed change to the labour law due to come up?
Ravi Naidoo:
In Finance.
Norman Levy: You talked
about building civil society, and needing to empower Parliament to change the
budget. Is there an alternative in the light of declining membership of unions
worldwide? We are part of the present financial system and globalisation. You
spoke about deregulation, the reduction of clothing industry tariffs and the
impact on South Africa, the deregulation of labour conditions. The growth in
the informal sector is not taxable. It undermines the welfare system. Are we
caught? Are there viable alternatives which will not make capital just transfer
its direct investment somewhere else? The strategies you adopt would depend on
your answers to this.
Ravi Naidoo:
Yes, there are alternatives. There always are. Globalisation is not a natural
phenomenon, it is a driven process. Policies get made on power, not necessarily
on economics. According to the views of the heads of the ILO and Joseph Stiglitz who used to be in the World Bank, it is a
policy-driven process. Political and institutional mechanisms make a big
difference. There is a global competitiveness imperative. A number of countries
avoid zero sum games, especially the old social democracies. An agreement could
say, for example, we can look at productivity in exchange for a policy on
poverty and reinvestment. Kerala State in India has a
higher human development index than many countries, and it has a high level of
social mobilisation. It is the only state in India that has banned child
labour, and it is doing well. In Brazil, participatory budgeting for local
government takes place and 44 cities have a basic payment grant. This
disregards World Bank advice. Kerala accepts that
companies which want to use child labour will move to West Bengal or somewhere
else.
Norman Levy: Where are
these options in the work of the SACP, Cosatu? We don’t have a consistent
well worked-out industrial policy for the country. We protest against the
policies of others and their consequences, why don’t we have an alternative?
Ravi Naidoo: A
lot of work has been done in, for example, Naledi,
and the Macroeconomic Research Group (MERG) report. MERG was much better than
GEAR, but it was shot down because MERG opposed entrenching the independence of
the Reserve Bank in the Constitution.
Ronald Segal: My
information is that the MERG report was shown to high-ranking representatives
of the UK and US who said they found the report unacceptable and that there
would be serious implications if it were put into place. When I was involved in
working for the ANC before the 1994 elections, the head of Sanlam
said he was disappointed that there was no ANC economic policy. The MERG report
was worked on by about 100 South African and international economists, but it
was not distributed. Although MERG was cautious and conservative, it was
suppressed on the grounds that it was irrational and radical. This was the
beginning of the end.
Ravi Naidoo:
You have to be in with a certain perspective to be heard.
Norman Levy: MERG was on
the table but it was rejected. Since MERG we have not had an alternative to the
neo-liberal approach. There is no systematic alternative economic policy that
one might consider. Opposition to neoliberalism in the SACP, Cosatu and ANC is gestural, there are no policies to back the criticisms up.
Annmarie Wolpe: We need to address questions
of power and power relations. In Zimbabwe, the Zimbabwe Congress of Trade
Unions called back its planned three-day stayaway to
one day because of power relations. The trade union movement with a socialist
agenda is no longer unified in terms of its aims, it is disparate. To what
extent are unions supporting an elite aligned not only with MNCs,
but globalisation outside of government and government power in which the IMF
and the World Bank call the tune? There are tensions and contradictions and the
absence of a uniform left-wing position, confused by unions which support a
form of capitalism which will benefit the workers.
Ravi Naidoo:
It is not all doom and gloom. In the 60s and 70s, the unions were not united
– there were Christian unions, the Left block, and the AFL-CIO (and some
asked whether the ‘CIO’ part of the name is actually
‘CIA’). Cold War divisions have come down, which is a positive
thing. In terms of what is it that people want to replace the existing system,
union movements are coming from different histories. There is no social
democracy (for example a Keynesian closed economy) anywhere. We need something
qualitatively different. Giddens speaks of ‘a
third way’ – an open economy within social democracy, but this fits
into the competitiveness paradigm.
Ronald Segal: It is more
complex and sanguine. The corporate fundamentalism of neo-liberalism is
inherently unstable and divisive and is facing increasing revulsion by
countries, by consumers who dislike the loss of choice and the indifference to
the environment. For the first time in US politics under Ralph Nader consumer power is part of a powerful ecological lobby
concerned about the apocalyptic things like changes in the weather which have
caused unstoppable fires across 11 states. I am not seeing South Africa
attracting the capital that it says it risks losing if it had a different
policy. A lot of investment decisions have been based on moral arguments, for
example, the bursary funds committed to SA. There is more than just one force
– the global superpower – affecting SA policy. In the next short
while, we will see stirring in the undergrowth of the jungle. New Labour is
finding a profound disenchantment in the classes it expected to support its
programme.
Ravi Naidoo:
In the UK they have set up a social exclusion unit, and there are 750 000
more people in it since New Labour came to power. Policy is made in different
ways – through power, and through rationality (a research-based approach).
Cosatu’s website www.cosatu.org.za
contains more research than many government sites. The World Bank is in the
throes of policy regression. Since it kicked out Joseph Stiglitz,
a lot of the staff he brought in are also being purged. Before, such things
could be kept quiet, with the Internet, this purge is well known. The World Development Report of 1990 said we
would have made inroads into poverty under the neo-liberal policies of the
time. Lawrence Summers wanted the 2000 report to say we would be overcoming
poverty if there were not a few abberations in how
the policies were applied. This is an exercise of power – if you are
saying ‘the right things’ you will be heard, if not, you
won’t.
Rob Turrell:
Did labour have any influence over the failure of Nedcor
to take over Stanbic?
Ravi Naidoo:
Labour had an interest – there would have been a loss of 10 000 jobs
in Standard Bank if it went ahead. There are also consumer interests – we
already have a very concentrated financial sector. The new group would have had
too much power. Cosatu and others put pressure on the Competition Tribunal and
Competition Commission,who research for the tribunal,
not to allow the takeover.
Mervyn Bennun: Ravi’s paper is very depressing, we seem to face
defeat on all fronts, everything we struggled for is running through our
fingers.
Ravi Naidoo:
There have been a lot of important things that have gone right. SA is better
than it used to be, and things are better for Cosatu too. For a black person,
SA is better than it used to be. There have been changes in a whole range of
apartheid laws. This is one of the reasons Cosatu is close to the ANC. There
has been major service delivery rollouts in water, telecommunications,
electricity and housing. User charges are bad, but a number of good things have
emerged. The economy and employment have been the worst hit. We have an
extremely useful Constitution. We have rights which exceed the rights of many
countries, and SA has the only constitution in the world that expressly
guarantees rights for all sorts of minorities. In the time that the government
has been in power, how much of the apartheid legacy could have been reversed?
We must be realistic. But the unions think the wrong choices have been made
with regard to the economy and employment – we have adopted policies that
are quite job-destroying.
Mervyn Bennun:
The delivery that has taken place has been done with the resources that were
available at the time of the changeover. These resources are running out, they
are not being replenished. The wrong choices have been made at the central
level. It is indescribably bleak.
Norman Levy: A lot is
positive institutionally, a lot is positive in terms of access, but 40 per cent
of the labour market is unemployed. Are we able to buck the neo-liberal trend
and replace it with policies that will provide jobs? We could find employment
for a good proportion of those if we moved away from a neo-liberal economic
policy.
Ravi Naidoo:
In the last year government has given away R26 billion in tax exemptions in an
environment where many jobs have been lost. Exemptions are intended to attract
investment, but you attract investment by ensuring that the economy grows. A
lot of the state’s institutions are in trouble, but response is just to
privatise them, lowering the cost to government.
Rob Turrell:
What about underspending of government poverty
alleviation money – does Cosatu have a stance on this?
Ravi Naidoo:
They cannot spend money because they don’t have people, or they get in
money which comes in shortly before it has to be spent. There is an incentive
to cut expenditure, and there are administrative delays. The response should
not be to give government less, the squeeze is making it difficult for
government to spend.
Norman Levy: This is not
true. I have been round the country and interviewed finance MECs,
premiers and others. They love consultants and are short of advisors.
Ravi Naidoo:
The underspending in the Department of Welfare came
out because it had spent only 1 per cent of its money. People did not pick up
on other departments which underspent.
Annmarie Wolpe: You have raised a number of
issues. Many things are wrong, but many things are right. There is no outlet or
stimulation of debate, people are not talking to each other, a need which this
forum tries to meet. Thank you.